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China's No. 2 but it's not celebrating

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BEIJING: China may have overtaken Japan as the world's No. 2 economy in the second quarter, but the Chinese government said yesterday that the country still has millions of poor people.

'China is a developing country,' Commerce Ministry spokesman Yao Jian told reporters. 'The quality of China's economic development still needs to be raised. It needs more effort to improve economic quality and people's lives.'

It was the government's first public reaction to news on Monday that China overtook Japan in economic output in the April to June quarter.

Many expect China to become the world's No. 2 economy this year, just behind the United States, taking the title Japan has held for 40 years and underscoring its emergence as an economic power.

While China has seen double-digit expansion in gross domestic product (GDP) for years, Japan's growth rates have been comparatively low.

On Monday, Japanese data showed that while Tokyo was ahead of its Asian rival in the first half, its second-quarter GDP was US$1.28 trillion, behind China's US$1.33 trillion reported earlier.

But in per capita terms, China lags far behind Japan. With a population of 1.3 billion, it had a per capita income of US$3,600 (S$4,900) last year, compared with Japan's US$37,800.

China also has more than 40 million people living below its official poverty line, Mr Yao said.

'We should care not only about the GDP data, but also about per capita GDP,' he said at a regular news briefing.

'We still have an enormous gap to make up.'

Chinese state media insisted that China, while contributing to global growth and helping to drive the world's recovery from the financial crisis, was still transforming itself into a world-class economic power.

'China's economic strength is still at the level of a developing nation. So the world's second-largest economy is not the equivalent of the second-largest economic power,' the People's Daily said in a commentary.

In just three decades, China has leapfrogged Britain, France and Germany on its economic ascent and has won developing countries a bigger say in the World Bank and International Monetary Fund.

However, the official China Daily said in an editorial: 'The Chinese economy still has a lot more room to grow and can contribute even more to the global recovery.

'But for those who expect China to assume greater international responsibilities just because of the size of its economy, they should take a hard look at the enormous development challenges that the country still faces.'

The Chinese government is in the midst of a marathon effort to spread prosperity from its thriving eastern cities to the poor countryside and the western region.

It is also trying to defuse tensions over a huge wealth gap between an elite group, which has benefited most from three decades of reform, and the poor majority.

AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE, ASSOCIATED PRESS

Source - http://www.straitstimes.com/Asia/China/Story/STIStory_567628.html 

 

Survey: Over 23 million Christians in China

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By Chen Jia (China Daily)

Beijing - The number of Christians in the country has hit a record 23.05 million in 2010, according to a survey released on Wednesday by the institute of world religions at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

"Nearly 69 percent of believers said they converted to Christianity after either they or members of their family fell ill," Li Lin, who organized the survey, said in the Blue Book on China Religions, a book that lists facts on religion in China.

 "About 15 percent of believers said they are Christian because of the influence of family traditions."

Li pointed out that the number of female Christians is much higher than male Christians, taking up a whopping 70 percent of the total number.

The book also revealed a increase in other faiths, including Buddhism, Islam, Catholicism and Taoism.

The number of Catholics in China has reached 5.7 million, according to the survey.

The Christian boom is a result of China's economic growth, the survey found, noting that 73 percent of Chinese Christians joined the church after 1993, and nearly 18 percent of them between 1982 and 1992.

 

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The poll found that most of the Chinese Christians are located in the eastern costal and the Yangtze River areas, which are China's most densely populated and economically prosperous regions.

The demographics of Christians have changed tremendously, with a continuing influx of young people, intellectuals, and professionals from various fields.

To accommodate the increase in the number of churchgoers, there has been a corresponding increase in the number of churches in the country, which currently stand at more than 55,000.

"These statistics clearly indicate that the 30-year period of reform and opening-up has been a period of rapid development for both Chinese society and the Chinese church," Fu Xianwei, chairman of China's Three-Self Patriotic Movement National Committee, said at the annual meeting of the Shanghai Religious Society.

Fu said more than 70 percent of the religious facilities have only recently been built.

Some of these churches are limited in their capacity to accommodate worshippers, while others have extensive buildings that are capable of seating 8,000.

By the end of 2009, more than 50 million copies of the Bible had been printed in China, Fu said.

Source - China Daily (http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2010-08/12/content_11141208.htm)

 

Don't overestimate China's economy

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The Governor of the People's Bank of China (PBC) Yi Gang recently mentioned that China had overtaken Japan to become the world's second largest economy. Some UK researchers believe that at current GDP growth rates, China will overtake the U.S. to be the world's top economy within nine years. The forecasts sparked heated debate worldwide. Some people think the figures are faked and do not take the forecasts seriously; others agree that, sooner or later, China will become the world's biggest economic power.

The accuracy of China's GDP figures need not concern us much. Given the rate of economic growth over the past 30 years and the current exchange rate of yuan, the national figures for GDP are quite believable. Some provinces may exaggerate the figures, but on the other hand in some developed areas the figures may be understated. This makes the final figure released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) more or less accurate.

What concerns me most is that, although China's overall GDP is high, its per-capita GDP lags far behind the west. China's per-capita GDP is around US$3,800, less than one tenth that of Japan or the U.S., and less than one sixth that of France and the UK. Even among developing countries, China occupies only a mid-to-low-ranking position.

Besides, the quality of China's economy bears no comparison to that of the west. Since 2003, China's economic growth has relied on two pillars: exports and real estate. While the former brought China some benefits in terms of modernization, the latter has caused many serious problems. The growth in the real estate market is based on the mismanagement of land resources and property speculation, leading to skyrocketing house prices and a real estate bubble that must eventually be deflated. If China's growth continues to depend on these sectors, the country's economic development will be severely distorted. Fortunately, the government is well aware of the situation, and has introduced a series of measures to mitigate financial risks.

China's economy suffers from a number of unbalances. The first is the imbalance between urban and rural economic development. The reforms of the past three decades achieved great success, but cities and villages are steadily growing apart. The weight of the rural economy in overall economic activity becomes ever smaller.

The second imbalance is between regions. The economies of coastal regions are approaching the level of developed countries, but inland provinces lag behind by at least 10 or 20 years. The more inland a province is, the more backward its economy. The huge regional gap means that even if all provinces have the same GDP growth rate, the quality of their economy differs greatly.

The third imbalance is in income distribution. China is transitioning from a planned economy to market economy. Government intervention can still be seen everywhere in economy. In this situation, the income of an individual is greatly influenced by how close he is to power. The further away a man is from the government power, the less wealth he will get. Rapid economic growth has resulted in a small number of people grabbing the lion's share of the wealth.

If these problems are not solved, the quality of China's economic development will be badly affected and China will face serious difficulties in the future. China's rapid GDP growth will be meaningless if these unbalances remain unsolved.

When we talk about China's economic power, we should be careful not to overestimate our strength. We are still an underdeveloped country and many problems need to be addressed. Only by constantly reviewing our progress and identifying successes and shortcomings, can we move forward. Otherwise, if the country encounters a real financial crisis it may regress to what it was like years ago.

Source:China.org 

http://en.ce.cn/Business/Macro-economic/201008/09/t20100809_21703347.shtml

 

China to unveil $739b 'new energy' plan soon

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China will soon publish a plan for what it called "newly developing energy industries" that will involve 5 trillion yuan ($739 billion) in investment through 2020, the China Securities Journal reported on Monday.

The plan has been approved by the National Development and Reform Commission and will be submitted to the State Council for approval, the newspaper report said, citing information from the State Information Center.

The newly developing energy industries include nuclear, wind, solar and biomass energy, as well as clean coal, smart grid, distributed energy and new energy sources for vehicles, officials with the National Energy Administration have said.

Source:Agencies

http://en.ce.cn/Business/Macro-economic/201008/09/t20100809_21703302.shtml 

 

China's second-tier cities power ahead of Big Four

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Provincial capitals benefit from stimulus spending and foreign investment

 


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